Christmas 2026 snow forecast

Will it snow in Winter's Cross?

5%UnlikelyChance of a white Christmas

Christmas Day snow odds for Winter's Cross, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.

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What history says

Christmas snow in Winter's Cross

The calibrated long-range estimate for Winter's Cross is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2009.

5%

White Christmas

2%

Snow on the Day

3%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Winter's Cross, 1991–2024

Modelled history

Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day

3of 34

1990s

91
92
Modelled snow signal
93
Modelled snow signal
94
95
96
97
98
99

2000s

00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
Modelled snow signal
09

2010s

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

20
21
22
23
24
Modelled snow signalBelow model threshold
When was the last white Christmas in Winter's Cross? Explore the full history →

Beyond Christmas Day

Will it snow in Winter's Cross this winter?

At Lyneham, the nearest long-running weather station (65 km away), snow has settled in 65% of winters, on about 2.6 days a winter. It usually first settles around 29 January, and lies there in December in 30% of years.

Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →

About Winter's Cross

Elevation

90 m

Region

West Midlands

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Winter's Cross sits at 90 m.

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Winter's Cross Christmas 2026 forecast card: 5% chance of falling snow on 24 or 25 December. The card includes its date and forecast basis.
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Cite this forecast

You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.

Text

Winter's Cross has a 5% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/west-midlands/winter-s-cross

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<p>Winter's Cross has a 5% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/west-midlands/winter-s-cross">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>

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Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Winter's Cross this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 5% chance of a white Christmas in Winter's Cross in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Winter's Cross have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Winter's Cross is 5%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
Will it snow in Winter's Cross this winter?
Quite possibly, though not every winter. At Lyneham, the nearest long-running weather station (65 km away), snow has settled in 65% of winters, on about 2.6 days a winter, usually first around 29 January. Snow lies there in December in 30% of years.
When did Winter's Cross last have a white Christmas?
The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Winter's Cross was 2009, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.