Will it be a White Christmas in Merthyr Tydfil?
Snow odds for Merthyr Tydfil, Wales, on Christmas Day 2026.
The historical picture
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Merthyr Tydfil has had a white Christmas fewer than 1 year in 10: 1 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2009.
4%
White Christmas
0%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Merthyr Tydfil, 1991–2024
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White Christmas No snow
About Merthyr Tydfil
Elevation
186 m
Region
Wales
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Merthyr Tydfil sits at 186 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Merthyr Tydfil this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 4% chance of a white Christmas in Merthyr Tydfil in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Merthyr Tydfil have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Merthyr Tydfil fewer than 1 year in 10 (1 of 34 years).
- When did Merthyr Tydfil last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Merthyr Tydfil in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.