Christmas 2026 snow forecast

Will it snow in Barrow upon Soar?

5%UnlikelyChance of a white Christmas

Christmas Day snow odds for Barrow upon Soar, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.

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What history says

Christmas snow in Barrow upon Soar

The calibrated long-range estimate for Barrow upon Soar is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2009.

5%

White Christmas

2%

Snow on the Day

3%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Barrow upon Soar, 1991–2024

Modelled history

Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day

3of 34

1990s

91
92
Modelled snow signal
93
Modelled snow signal
94
95
96
97
98
99

2000s

00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
Modelled snow signal
09

2010s

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

20
21
22
23
24
Modelled snow signalBelow model threshold
When was the last white Christmas in Barrow upon Soar? Explore the full history →

About Barrow upon Soar

Elevation

61 m

Region

East Midlands

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Barrow upon Soar sits at 61 m.

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Barrow upon Soar Christmas 2026 forecast card: 5% chance of falling snow on 24 or 25 December. The card includes its date and forecast basis.
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Cite this forecast

You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.

Text

Barrow upon Soar has a 5% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/east-midlands/barrow-upon-soar

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<p>Barrow upon Soar has a 5% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/east-midlands/barrow-upon-soar">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>

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Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Barrow upon Soar this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 5% chance of a white Christmas in Barrow upon Soar in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Barrow upon Soar have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Barrow upon Soar is 5%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
When did Barrow upon Soar last have a white Christmas?
The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Barrow upon Soar was 2009, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.