Will it be a White Christmas in Gelligaer?
Snow odds for Gelligaer, Wales, on Christmas Day 2026.
The historical picture
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Gelligaer has had a white Christmas about 1 year in 10: 2 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2009.
6%
White Christmas
3%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Gelligaer, 1991–2024
'91
'92
'93
'94
'95
'96
'97
'98
'99
'00
'01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
'14
'15
'16
'17
'18
'19
'20
'21
'22
'23
'24
White Christmas No snow
About Gelligaer
Elevation
233 m
Region
Wales
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Gelligaer sits at 233 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Gelligaer this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 6% chance of a white Christmas in Gelligaer in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Gelligaer have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Gelligaer about 1 year in 10 (2 of 34 years).
- When did Gelligaer last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Gelligaer in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.