Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Ebbw Vale?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

Wales311 m elevation1 km local model
11%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Ebbw Vale

Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Ebbw Vale has had a white Christmas about 1 year in 10: 4 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2009.

11%

White Christmas

6%

Snow on the Day

6%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Ebbw Vale, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

4of 34

1990s

91
92
White Christmas
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

2000s

White Christmas
00
01
02
03
White Christmas
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
09

2010s

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

20
21
22
23
24
White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Ebbw Vale

Elevation

311 m

Region

Wales

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Ebbw Vale sits at 311 m.

Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Ebbw Vale this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 11% chance of a white Christmas in Ebbw Vale in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Ebbw Vale have a white Christmas?
Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Ebbw Vale about 1 year in 10 (4 of 34 years).
When did Ebbw Vale last have a white Christmas?
The most recent white Christmas in Ebbw Vale in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.