Will it be a White Christmas in Caernarfon?
Snow odds for Caernarfon, Wales, on Christmas Day 2026.
The historical picture
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Caernarfon has had a white Christmas about 1 year in 10: 2 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2009.
7%
White Christmas
3%
Snow on the Day
0%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Caernarfon, 1991–2024
'91
'92
'93
'94
'95
'96
'97
'98
'99
'00
'01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
'14
'15
'16
'17
'18
'19
'20
'21
'22
'23
'24
White Christmas No snow
About Caernarfon
Elevation
33 m
Region
Wales
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Caernarfon sits at 33 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Caernarfon this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 7% chance of a white Christmas in Caernarfon in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Caernarfon have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Caernarfon about 1 year in 10 (2 of 34 years).
- When did Caernarfon last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Caernarfon in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.