Christmas 2026 snow forecast

Will it snow in Cove?

2%Very unlikelyChance of a white Christmas

Christmas Day snow odds for Cove, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.

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What history says

Christmas snow in Cove

The calibrated long-range estimate for Cove is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 1993.

2%

White Christmas

1%

Snow on the Day

1%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Cove, 1991–2024

Modelled history

Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day

1of 34

1990s

91
92
Modelled snow signal
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

2000s

00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09

2010s

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

20
21
22
23
24
Modelled snow signalBelow model threshold
When was the last white Christmas in Cove? Explore the full history →

About Cove

Elevation

146 m

Region

South West England

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Cove sits at 146 m.

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Share Cove’s snow forecast

A little Christmas speculation for the group chat. Save your local forecast card or share the link so friends can check their own town.

Cove Christmas 2026 forecast card: 2% chance of falling snow on 24 or 25 December. The card includes its date and forecast basis.
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Cite this forecast

You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.

Text

Cove has a 2% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-west/cove

HTML with link

<p>Cove has a 2% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-west/cove">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>

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Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Cove this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 2% chance of a white Christmas in Cove in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Cove have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Cove is 2%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
When did Cove last have a white Christmas?
The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Cove was 1993, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.