Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Henley-on-Thames?
Christmas Day snow odds for Henley-on-Thames, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
Share your town’s forecast card →What history says
Christmas snow in Henley-on-Thames
The calibrated long-range estimate for Henley-on-Thames is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2009.
4%
White Christmas
1%
Snow on the Day
4%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Henley-on-Thames, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
2of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in Henley-on-Thames this winter?
At Lyneham, the nearest long-running weather station (76 km away), snow has settled in 65% of winters, on about 2.6 days a winter. It usually first settles around 29 January, and lies there in December in 30% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About Henley-on-Thames
Elevation
34 m
Region
South East England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Henley-on-Thames sits at 34 m.
Put your town on the Christmas card
Share Henley-on-Thames’s snow forecast
A little Christmas speculation for the group chat. Save your local forecast card or share the link so friends can check their own town.
Writing about Henley-on-Thames?
Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
Henley-on-Thames has a 4% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-east/henley-on-thames
HTML with link
<p>Henley-on-Thames has a 4% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-east/henley-on-thames">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Henley-on-Thames this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 4% chance of a white Christmas in Henley-on-Thames in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Henley-on-Thames have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Henley-on-Thames is 4%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Henley-on-Thames this winter?
- Quite possibly, though not every winter. At Lyneham, the nearest long-running weather station (76 km away), snow has settled in 65% of winters, on about 2.6 days a winter, usually first around 29 January. Snow lies there in December in 30% of years.
- When did Henley-on-Thames last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Henley-on-Thames was 2009, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.