Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Ash Vale?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

South East England69 m elevation1 km local model
4%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Ash Vale

Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Ash Vale has had a white Christmas fewer than 1 year in 10: 1 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2009.

4%

White Christmas

0%

Snow on the Day

3%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Ash Vale, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

1of 34

1990s

91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

2000s

00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
09

2010s

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

20
21
22
23
24
White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Ash Vale

Elevation

69 m

Region

South East England

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Ash Vale sits at 69 m.

Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Ash Vale this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 4% chance of a white Christmas in Ash Vale in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Ash Vale have a white Christmas?
Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Ash Vale fewer than 1 year in 10 (1 of 34 years).
When did Ash Vale last have a white Christmas?
The most recent white Christmas in Ash Vale in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.