Christmas 2026 snow forecast

Will it snow in Pitcaple?

16%Outside chanceChance of a white Christmas

Christmas Day snow odds for Pitcaple, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.

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What history says

Christmas snow in Pitcaple

The calibrated long-range estimate for Pitcaple is about 2 years in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2023.

16%

White Christmas

12%

Snow on the Day

12%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Pitcaple, 1991–2024

Modelled history

Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day

11of 34

1990s

91
92
Modelled snow signal
93
94
Modelled snow signal
95
Modelled snow signal
96
97
98
99

2000s

Modelled snow signal
00
Modelled snow signal
01
02
03
Modelled snow signal
04
05
06
Modelled snow signal
07
08
Modelled snow signal
09

2010s

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Modelled snow signal
19

2020s

Modelled snow signal
20
21
22
Modelled snow signal
23
24
Modelled snow signalBelow model threshold
When was the last white Christmas in Pitcaple? Explore the full history →

Beyond Christmas Day

Will it snow in Pitcaple this winter?

At Dyce, the nearest long-running weather station (21 km away), snow has settled in 91% of winters, on about 13.9 days a winter. It usually first settles around 3 December, and lies there in December in 64% of years.

Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →

About Pitcaple

Elevation

85 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Pitcaple sits at 85 m.

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Pitcaple Christmas 2026 forecast card: 16% chance of falling snow on 24 or 25 December. The card includes its date and forecast basis.
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Cite this forecast

You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.

Text

Pitcaple has a 16% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/scotland/pitcaple

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<p>Pitcaple has a 16% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/scotland/pitcaple">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>

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Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Pitcaple this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 16% chance of a white Christmas in Pitcaple in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Pitcaple have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Pitcaple is 16%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
Will it snow in Pitcaple this winter?
Very likely at some point. At Dyce, the nearest long-running weather station (21 km away), snow has settled in 91% of winters, on about 13.9 days a winter, usually first around 3 December. Snow lies there in December in 64% of years.
When did Pitcaple last have a white Christmas?
The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Pitcaple was 2023, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.