Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Ellon?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

Scotland12 m elevation1 km local model
29%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Ellon

Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Ellon has had a white Christmas about 3 years in 10: 10 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2020.

29%

White Christmas

21%

Snow on the Day

18%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Ellon, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

10of 34

1990s

91
92
White Christmas
93
94
White Christmas
95
White Christmas
96
97
98
99

2000s

White Christmas
00
White Christmas
01
02
03
White Christmas
04
05
White Christmas
06
White Christmas
07
08
White Christmas
09

2010s

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

White Christmas
20
21
22
23
24
White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Ellon

Elevation

12 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Ellon sits at 12 m.

Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Ellon this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 29% chance of a white Christmas in Ellon in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Ellon have a white Christmas?
Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Ellon about 3 years in 10 (10 of 34 years).
When did Ellon last have a white Christmas?
The most recent white Christmas in Ellon in our 1991–2024 records was 2020.