Christmas 2026 snow forecast

Will it snow in Newbigging?

29%PossibleChance of a white Christmas

Christmas Day snow odds for Newbigging, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.

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What history says

Christmas snow in Newbigging

The calibrated long-range estimate for Newbigging is about 3 years in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2023.

29%

White Christmas

21%

Snow on the Day

12%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Newbigging, 1991–2024

Modelled history

Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day

20of 34

1990s

91
92
Modelled snow signal
93
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Modelled snow signal
95
Modelled snow signal
96
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98
Modelled snow signal
99

2000s

Modelled snow signal
00
Modelled snow signal
01
02
03
Modelled snow signal
04
Modelled snow signal
05
Modelled snow signal
06
Modelled snow signal
07
08
Modelled snow signal
09

2010s

Modelled snow signal
10
11
12
Modelled snow signal
13
Modelled snow signal
14
Modelled snow signal
15
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Modelled snow signal
18
Modelled snow signal
19

2020s

Modelled snow signal
20
Modelled snow signal
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Modelled snow signal
23
24
Modelled snow signalBelow model threshold
When was the last white Christmas in Newbigging? Explore the full history →

Beyond Christmas Day

Will it snow in Newbigging this winter?

At Leuchars, the nearest long-running weather station (72 km away), snow has settled in 74% of winters, on about 5.8 days a winter. It usually first settles around 31 December, and lies there in December in 30% of years.

Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →

About Newbigging

Elevation

390 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Newbigging sits at 390 m.

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Share Newbigging’s snow forecast

A little Christmas speculation for the group chat. Save your local forecast card or share the link so friends can check their own town.

Newbigging Christmas 2026 forecast card: 29% chance of falling snow on 24 or 25 December. The card includes its date and forecast basis.
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Cite this forecast

You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.

Text

Newbigging has a 29% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/scotland/newbigging-4

HTML with link

<p>Newbigging has a 29% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/scotland/newbigging-4">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>

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Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Newbigging this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 29% chance of a white Christmas in Newbigging in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Newbigging have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Newbigging is 29%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
Will it snow in Newbigging this winter?
Very likely at some point. At Leuchars, the nearest long-running weather station (72 km away), snow has settled in 74% of winters, on about 5.8 days a winter, usually first around 31 December. Snow lies there in December in 30% of years.
When did Newbigging last have a white Christmas?
The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Newbigging was 2023, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.