Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Kerrysdale?
8%UnlikelyChance of a white Christmas
Christmas Day snow odds for Kerrysdale, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
What history says
Christmas snow in Kerrysdale
The calibrated long-range estimate for Kerrysdale is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2014.
8%
White Christmas
4%
Snow on the Day
4%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Kerrysdale, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
5of 34
1990s
90
91
92
93
94
White Christmas
95White Christmas
9697
98
99
2000s
White Christmas
0001
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
2010s
White Christmas
1011
12
13
White Christmas
1415
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Kerrysdale
Elevation
83 m
Region
Scotland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Kerrysdale sits at 83 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Kerrysdale this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 8% chance of a white Christmas in Kerrysdale in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Kerrysdale have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Kerrysdale is 8%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Kerrysdale this winter?
- Quite possibly, though not every winter. At Stornoway, the nearest long-running weather station (82 km away), snow has settled in 61% of winters, on about 3.3 days a winter, usually first around 8 January. Snow lies there in December in 28% of years.
- When did Kerrysdale last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Kerrysdale in our 1991–2024 records was 2014.