Christmas 2026 snow forecast

Will it snow in Calbost?

8%UnlikelyChance of a white Christmas

Christmas Day snow odds for Calbost, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.

What history says

Christmas snow in Calbost

The calibrated long-range estimate for Calbost is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2010.

8%

White Christmas

4%

Snow on the Day

4%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Calbost, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

5of 34

1990s

91
92
93
94
White Christmas
95
White Christmas
96
97
98
99

2000s

00
White Christmas
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
09

2010s

White Christmas
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

20
21
22
23
24
White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Calbost

Elevation

11 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Calbost sits at 11 m.

Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Calbost this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 8% chance of a white Christmas in Calbost in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Calbost have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Calbost is 8%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
Will it snow in Calbost this winter?
Quite possibly, though not every winter. At Stornoway, the nearest long-running weather station (30 km away), snow has settled in 61% of winters, on about 3.3 days a winter, usually first around 8 January. Snow lies there in December in 28% of years.
When did Calbost last have a white Christmas?
The most recent white Christmas in Calbost in our 1991–2024 records was 2010.