Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Baluain?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
Scotland158 m elevation1 km local model
12%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Baluain
The calibrated long-range estimate for Baluain is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2014.
12%
White Christmas
11%
Snow on the Day
4%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Baluain, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
8of 34
1990s
90
91
92
93
94
White Christmas
9596
97
98
White Christmas
992000s
White Christmas
0001
02
03
White Christmas
0405
White Christmas
06White Christmas
0708
09
2010s
White Christmas
1011
12
13
White Christmas
1415
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Baluain
Elevation
158 m
Region
Scotland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Baluain sits at 158 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Baluain this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 12% chance of a white Christmas in Baluain in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Baluain have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Baluain is 12%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- When did Baluain last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Baluain in our 1991–2024 records was 2014.