Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Armadale?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

Scotland187 m elevation1 km local model
23%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Armadale

Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Armadale has had a white Christmas about 2 years in 10: 8 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2021.

23%

White Christmas

12%

Snow on the Day

15%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Armadale, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

8of 34

1990s

91
92
White Christmas
93
94
White Christmas
95
96
97
98
99

2000s

White Christmas
00
01
02
03
04
05
White Christmas
06
07
08
White Christmas
09

2010s

White Christmas
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
White Christmas
18
19

2020s

20
White Christmas
21
22
23
24
White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Armadale

Elevation

187 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Armadale sits at 187 m.

Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Armadale this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 23% chance of a white Christmas in Armadale in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Armadale have a white Christmas?
Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Armadale about 2 years in 10 (8 of 34 years).
When did Armadale last have a white Christmas?
The most recent white Christmas in Armadale in our 1991–2024 records was 2021.