Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Darwen?
7%UnlikelyChance of a white Christmas
Christmas Day snow odds for Darwen, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
What history says
Christmas snow in Darwen
The calibrated long-range estimate for Darwen is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2009.
7%
White Christmas
5%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Darwen, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
4of 34
1990s
90
91
92
White Christmas
9394
White Christmas
9596
97
98
99
2000s
00
01
02
03
White Christmas
0405
06
07
08
White Christmas
092010s
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Darwen
Elevation
172 m
Region
North West England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Darwen sits at 172 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Darwen this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 7% chance of a white Christmas in Darwen in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Darwen have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Darwen is 7%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Darwen this winter?
- Very likely at some point. At Leeming, the nearest long-running weather station (91 km away), snow has settled in 81% of winters, on about 6 days a winter, usually first around 29 December. Snow lies there in December in 33% of years.
- When did Darwen last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Darwen in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.