Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in City of Westminster?
Christmas Day snow odds for City of Westminster, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
Share your town’s forecast card →What history says
Christmas snow in City of Westminster
The calibrated long-range estimate for City of Westminster is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 1996.
2%
White Christmas
1%
Snow on the Day
1%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in City of Westminster, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
1of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in City of Westminster this winter?
At Heathrow, the nearest long-running weather station (41 km away), snow has settled in 47% of winters, on about 1.9 days a winter. It usually first settles around 13 January, and lies there in December in 18% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About City of Westminster
Elevation
22 m
Region
London
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and City of Westminster sits at 22 m.
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Share City of Westminster’s snow forecast
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Writing about City of Westminster?
Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
City of Westminster has a 2% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/london/city-of-westminster
HTML with link
<p>City of Westminster has a 2% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/london/city-of-westminster">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in City of Westminster this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 2% chance of a white Christmas in City of Westminster in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does City of Westminster have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for City of Westminster is 2%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in City of Westminster this winter?
- Quite possibly, though not every winter. At Heathrow, the nearest long-running weather station (41 km away), snow has settled in 47% of winters, on about 1.9 days a winter, usually first around 13 January. Snow lies there in December in 18% of years.
- When did City of Westminster last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for City of Westminster was 1996, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.