Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Crofton?
Christmas Day snow odds for Crofton, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
Share your town’s forecast card →What history says
Christmas snow in Crofton
The calibrated long-range estimate for Crofton is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2009.
4%
White Christmas
3%
Snow on the Day
2%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Crofton, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
2of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in Crofton this winter?
At Leeming, the nearest long-running weather station (72 km away), snow has settled in 81% of winters, on about 6 days a winter. It usually first settles around 29 December, and lies there in December in 33% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About Crofton
Elevation
64 m
Region
Yorkshire and the Humber
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Crofton sits at 64 m.
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Share Crofton’s snow forecast
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Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
Crofton has a 4% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/yorkshire-and-the-humber/crofton
HTML with link
<p>Crofton has a 4% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/yorkshire-and-the-humber/crofton">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Crofton this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 4% chance of a white Christmas in Crofton in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Crofton have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Crofton is 4%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Crofton this winter?
- Very likely at some point. At Leeming, the nearest long-running weather station (72 km away), snow has settled in 81% of winters, on about 6 days a winter, usually first around 29 December. Snow lies there in December in 33% of years.
- When did Crofton last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Crofton was 2009, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.