Christmas 2026 snow forecast

Will it snow in Bilsdale?

10%UnlikelyChance of a white Christmas

Christmas Day snow odds for Bilsdale, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.

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What history says

Christmas snow in Bilsdale

The calibrated long-range estimate for Bilsdale is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2020.

10%

White Christmas

6%

Snow on the Day

9%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Bilsdale, 1991–2024

Modelled history

Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day

7of 34

1990s

91
92
Modelled snow signal
93
94
Modelled snow signal
95
Modelled snow signal
96
97
98
99

2000s

Modelled snow signal
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
Modelled snow signal
09

2010s

Modelled snow signal
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

Modelled snow signal
20
21
22
23
24
Modelled snow signalBelow model threshold
When was the last white Christmas in Bilsdale? Explore the full history →

Beyond Christmas Day

Will it snow in Bilsdale this winter?

At Leeming, the nearest long-running weather station (28 km away), snow has settled in 81% of winters, on about 6 days a winter. It usually first settles around 29 December, and lies there in December in 33% of years.

Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →

About Bilsdale

Elevation

300 m

Region

Yorkshire and the Humber

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Bilsdale sits at 300 m.

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Share Bilsdale’s snow forecast

A little Christmas speculation for the group chat. Save your local forecast card or share the link so friends can check their own town.

Bilsdale Christmas 2026 forecast card: 10% chance of falling snow on 24 or 25 December. The card includes its date and forecast basis.
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Cite this forecast

You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.

Text

Bilsdale has a 10% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/yorkshire-and-the-humber/bilsdale

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<p>Bilsdale has a 10% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/yorkshire-and-the-humber/bilsdale">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>

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Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Bilsdale this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 10% chance of a white Christmas in Bilsdale in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Bilsdale have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Bilsdale is 10%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
Will it snow in Bilsdale this winter?
Very likely at some point. At Leeming, the nearest long-running weather station (28 km away), snow has settled in 81% of winters, on about 6 days a winter, usually first around 29 December. Snow lies there in December in 33% of years.
When did Bilsdale last have a white Christmas?
The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Bilsdale was 2020, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.