Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Thornbury?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
West Midlands42 m elevation1 km local model
11%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Thornbury
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Thornbury has had a white Christmas about 1 year in 10: 4 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2010.
11%
White Christmas
3%
Snow on the Day
9%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Thornbury, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
4of 34
1990s
90
91
White Christmas
9293
White Christmas
9495
96
97
98
99
2000s
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
092010s
White Christmas
1011
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Thornbury
Elevation
42 m
Region
West Midlands
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Thornbury sits at 42 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Thornbury this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 11% chance of a white Christmas in Thornbury in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Thornbury have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Thornbury about 1 year in 10 (4 of 34 years).
- When did Thornbury last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Thornbury in our 1991–2024 records was 2010.