Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Coed-y-fedw?
Christmas Day snow odds for Coed-y-fedw, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
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Christmas snow in Coed-y-fedw
The calibrated long-range estimate for Coed-y-fedw is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2009.
5%
White Christmas
2%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Coed-y-fedw, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
3of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in Coed-y-fedw this winter?
At Lyneham, the nearest long-running weather station (64 km away), snow has settled in 65% of winters, on about 2.6 days a winter. It usually first settles around 29 January, and lies there in December in 30% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About Coed-y-fedw
Elevation
71 m
Region
Wales
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Coed-y-fedw sits at 71 m.
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Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
Coed-y-fedw has a 5% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/wales/coed-y-fedw
HTML with link
<p>Coed-y-fedw has a 5% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/wales/coed-y-fedw">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Coed-y-fedw this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 5% chance of a white Christmas in Coed-y-fedw in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Coed-y-fedw have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Coed-y-fedw is 5%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Coed-y-fedw this winter?
- Quite possibly, though not every winter. At Lyneham, the nearest long-running weather station (64 km away), snow has settled in 65% of winters, on about 2.6 days a winter, usually first around 29 January. Snow lies there in December in 30% of years.
- When did Coed-y-fedw last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Coed-y-fedw was 2009, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.