Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Aberkenfig?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
Wales39 m elevation1 km local model
6%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Aberkenfig
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Aberkenfig has had a white Christmas about 1 year in 10: 2 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2009.
6%
White Christmas
3%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Aberkenfig, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
2of 34
1990s
90
91
92
White Christmas
9394
95
96
97
98
99
2000s
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
092010s
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Aberkenfig
Elevation
39 m
Region
Wales
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Aberkenfig sits at 39 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Aberkenfig this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 6% chance of a white Christmas in Aberkenfig in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Aberkenfig have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Aberkenfig about 1 year in 10 (2 of 34 years).
- When did Aberkenfig last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Aberkenfig in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.