Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in St Austell?
Christmas Day snow odds for St Austell, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
Share your town’s forecast card →What history says
Christmas snow in St Austell
The calibrated long-range estimate for St Austell is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2010.
2%
White Christmas
2%
Snow on the Day
1%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in St Austell, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
1of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in St Austell this winter?
At Camborne, the nearest long-running weather station (41 km away), snow has settled in 27% of winters, on about 0.8 days a winter. It usually first settles around 27 January, and lies there in December in 5% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About St Austell
Elevation
73 m
Region
South West England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and St Austell sits at 73 m.
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Share St Austell’s snow forecast
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Writing about St Austell?
Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
St Austell has a 2% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-west/st-austell
HTML with link
<p>St Austell has a 2% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-west/st-austell">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in St Austell this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 2% chance of a white Christmas in St Austell in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does St Austell have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for St Austell is 2%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in St Austell this winter?
- Settling snow is unusual here. At Camborne, the nearest long-running weather station (41 km away), snow has settled in 27% of winters, on about 0.8 days a winter, usually first around 27 January. Snow lies there in December in 5% of years.
- When did St Austell last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for St Austell was 2010, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.