Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Plymouth?
Christmas Day snow odds for Plymouth, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
Share your town’s forecast card →What history says
Christmas snow in Plymouth
The calibrated long-range estimate for Plymouth is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods.
1%
White Christmas
1%
Snow on the Day
1%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Plymouth, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
0of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in Plymouth this winter?
At Camborne, the nearest long-running weather station (85 km away), snow has settled in 27% of winters, on about 0.8 days a winter. It usually first settles around 27 January, and lies there in December in 5% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About Plymouth
Elevation
14 m
Region
South West England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Plymouth sits at 14 m.
Put your town on the Christmas card
Share Plymouth’s snow forecast
A little Christmas speculation for the group chat. Save your local forecast card or share the link so friends can check their own town.
Writing about Plymouth?
Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
Plymouth has a 1% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-west/plymouth
HTML with link
<p>Plymouth has a 1% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-west/plymouth">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Plymouth this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 1% chance of a white Christmas in Plymouth in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Plymouth have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Plymouth is 1%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Plymouth this winter?
- Settling snow is unusual here. At Camborne, the nearest long-running weather station (85 km away), snow has settled in 27% of winters, on about 0.8 days a winter, usually first around 27 January. Snow lies there in December in 5% of years.
- When did Plymouth last have a white Christmas?
- Our 1991–2024 reconstruction has no year meeting the Christmas snow threshold for Plymouth. That does not prove snow never fell: the model estimates falling snow on 24 or 25 December and ends in 2024.