Christmas 2026 snow forecast

Will it snow in Crewkerne?

4%Very unlikelyChance of a white Christmas

Christmas Day snow odds for Crewkerne, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.

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What history says

Christmas snow in Crewkerne

The calibrated long-range estimate for Crewkerne is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 1994.

4%

White Christmas

2%

Snow on the Day

2%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Crewkerne, 1991–2024

Modelled history

Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day

2of 34

1990s

91
Modelled snow signal
92
93
Modelled snow signal
94
95
96
97
98
99

2000s

00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09

2010s

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

20
21
22
23
24
Modelled snow signalBelow model threshold
When was the last white Christmas in Crewkerne? Explore the full history →

Beyond Christmas Day

Will it snow in Crewkerne this winter?

At Hurn, the nearest long-running weather station (68 km away), snow has settled in 35% of winters, on about 1 days a winter. It usually first settles around 3 February, and lies there in December in 4% of years.

Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →

About Crewkerne

Elevation

74 m

Region

South West England

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Crewkerne sits at 74 m.

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Crewkerne Christmas 2026 forecast card: 4% chance of falling snow on 24 or 25 December. The card includes its date and forecast basis.
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Cite this forecast

You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.

Text

Crewkerne has a 4% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-west/crewkerne

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<p>Crewkerne has a 4% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-west/crewkerne">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>

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Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Crewkerne this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 4% chance of a white Christmas in Crewkerne in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Crewkerne have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Crewkerne is 4%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
Will it snow in Crewkerne this winter?
Settling snow is unusual here. At Hurn, the nearest long-running weather station (68 km away), snow has settled in 35% of winters, on about 1 days a winter, usually first around 3 February. Snow lies there in December in 4% of years.
When did Crewkerne last have a white Christmas?
The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Crewkerne was 1994, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.