Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Sunbury-on-Thames?
Christmas Day snow odds for Sunbury-on-Thames, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
Share your town’s forecast card →What history says
Christmas snow in Sunbury-on-Thames
The calibrated long-range estimate for Sunbury-on-Thames is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods.
1%
White Christmas
1%
Snow on the Day
1%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Sunbury-on-Thames, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
0of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in Sunbury-on-Thames this winter?
At Heathrow, the nearest long-running weather station (61 km away), snow has settled in 47% of winters, on about 1.9 days a winter. It usually first settles around 13 January, and lies there in December in 18% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About Sunbury-on-Thames
Elevation
12 m
Region
South East England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Sunbury-on-Thames sits at 12 m.
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Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
Sunbury-on-Thames has a 1% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 6 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-east/sunbury-on-thames
HTML with link
<p>Sunbury-on-Thames has a 1% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-east/sunbury-on-thames">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 6 November 2026).</p>
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Sunbury-on-Thames this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 1% chance of a white Christmas in Sunbury-on-Thames in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Sunbury-on-Thames have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Sunbury-on-Thames is 1%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Sunbury-on-Thames this winter?
- Quite possibly, though not every winter. At Heathrow, the nearest long-running weather station (61 km away), snow has settled in 47% of winters, on about 1.9 days a winter, usually first around 13 January. Snow lies there in December in 18% of years.
- When did Sunbury-on-Thames last have a white Christmas?
- Our 1991–2024 reconstruction has no year meeting the Christmas snow threshold for Sunbury-on-Thames. That does not prove snow never fell: the model estimates falling snow on 24 or 25 December and ends in 2024.