Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Selsey?
Christmas Day snow odds for Selsey, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
Share your town’s forecast card →What history says
Christmas snow in Selsey
The calibrated long-range estimate for Selsey is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods.
1%
White Christmas
1%
Snow on the Day
1%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Selsey, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
0of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in Selsey this winter?
At Hurn, the nearest long-running weather station (74 km away), snow has settled in 35% of winters, on about 1 days a winter. It usually first settles around 3 February, and lies there in December in 4% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About Selsey
Elevation
7 m
Region
South East England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Selsey sits at 7 m.
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Share Selsey’s snow forecast
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Writing about Selsey?
Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
Selsey has a 1% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-east/selsey
HTML with link
<p>Selsey has a 1% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/south-east/selsey">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Selsey this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 1% chance of a white Christmas in Selsey in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Selsey have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Selsey is 1%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Selsey this winter?
- Settling snow is unusual here. At Hurn, the nearest long-running weather station (74 km away), snow has settled in 35% of winters, on about 1 days a winter, usually first around 3 February. Snow lies there in December in 4% of years.
- When did Selsey last have a white Christmas?
- Our 1991–2024 reconstruction has no year meeting the Christmas snow threshold for Selsey. That does not prove snow never fell: the model estimates falling snow on 24 or 25 December and ends in 2024.