Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Cowlease?
1%Very unlikelyChance of a white Christmas
Christmas Day snow odds for Cowlease, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
What history says
Christmas snow in Cowlease
The calibrated long-range estimate for Cowlease is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods.
1%
White Christmas
1%
Snow on the Day
1%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Cowlease, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
0of 34
1990s
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
2000s
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
2010s
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Cowlease
Elevation
48 m
Region
South East England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Cowlease sits at 48 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Cowlease this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 1% chance of a white Christmas in Cowlease in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Cowlease have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Cowlease is 1%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Cowlease this winter?
- Settling snow is unusual here. At Hurn, the nearest long-running weather station (50 km away), snow has settled in 35% of winters, on about 1 days a winter, usually first around 3 February. Snow lies there in December in 4% of years.
- When did Cowlease last have a white Christmas?
- Our 1991–2024 records show no white Christmas in Cowlease. Snow on the day here is rare.