Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Pool of Muckhart?
Christmas Day snow odds for Pool of Muckhart, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
Share your town’s forecast card →What history says
Christmas snow in Pool of Muckhart
The calibrated long-range estimate for Pool of Muckhart is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2018.
11%
White Christmas
6%
Snow on the Day
6%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Pool of Muckhart, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
7of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in Pool of Muckhart this winter?
At Leuchars, the nearest long-running weather station (51 km away), snow has settled in 74% of winters, on about 5.8 days a winter. It usually first settles around 31 December, and lies there in December in 30% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About Pool of Muckhart
Elevation
155 m
Region
Scotland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Pool of Muckhart sits at 155 m.
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Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
Pool of Muckhart has an 11% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/scotland/pool-of-muckhart
HTML with link
<p>Pool of Muckhart has an 11% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/scotland/pool-of-muckhart">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Pool of Muckhart this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 11% chance of a white Christmas in Pool of Muckhart in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Pool of Muckhart have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Pool of Muckhart is 11%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Pool of Muckhart this winter?
- Very likely at some point. At Leuchars, the nearest long-running weather station (51 km away), snow has settled in 74% of winters, on about 5.8 days a winter, usually first around 31 December. Snow lies there in December in 30% of years.
- When did Pool of Muckhart last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Pool of Muckhart was 2018, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.