Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Newmill?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
Scotland137 m elevation1 km local model
14%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Newmill
The calibrated long-range estimate for Newmill is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2021.
14%
White Christmas
12%
Snow on the Day
5%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Newmill, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
10of 34
1990s
90
91
92
White Christmas
9394
White Christmas
95White Christmas
9697
98
99
2000s
White Christmas
0001
02
03
04
05
White Christmas
06White Christmas
0708
White Christmas
092010s
White Christmas
1011
12
13
14
15
16
17
White Christmas
1819
2020s
20
White Christmas
2122
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Newmill
Elevation
137 m
Region
Scotland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Newmill sits at 137 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Newmill this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 14% chance of a white Christmas in Newmill in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Newmill have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Newmill is 14%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- When did Newmill last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Newmill in our 1991–2024 records was 2021.