Will it snow in Kildonan this Christmas?

The current estimate is a 17% chance of a white Christmas in Kildonan in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.

How often does Kildonan have a white Christmas?

The calibrated long-range estimate for Kildonan is 17%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.

When did Kildonan last have a white Christmas?

The most recent white Christmas in Kildonan in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.

Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Kildonan?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

Scotland89 m elevation1 km local model

17%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Kildonan

The calibrated long-range estimate for Kildonan is about 2 years in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2023.

17%

White Christmas

16%

Snow on the Day

10%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Kildonan, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

12of 34

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Kildonan

Elevation

89 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Kildonan sits at 89 m.

Nearby places

Thurso

51 km away

12%

Wick

54 km away

15%

Alness

58 km away

10%

Lossiemouth

60 km away

13%

Forres

63 km away

10%

Nairn

65 km away

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Kildonan this Christmas?: The current estimate is a 17% chance of a white Christmas in Kildonan in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Kildonan have a white Christmas?: The calibrated long-range estimate for Kildonan is 17%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
When did Kildonan last have a white Christmas?: The most recent white Christmas in Kildonan in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.