Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Gardie?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
Scotland54 m elevation1 km local model
13%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Gardie
The calibrated long-range estimate for Gardie is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2021.
13%
White Christmas
7%
Snow on the Day
8%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Gardie, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
9of 34
1990s
90
91
92
White Christmas
9394
White Christmas
95White Christmas
9697
98
99
2000s
White Christmas
00White Christmas
0102
03
White Christmas
0405
06
07
08
White Christmas
092010s
10
11
12
13
White Christmas
1415
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
White Christmas
2122
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Gardie
Elevation
54 m
Region
Scotland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Gardie sits at 54 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Gardie this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 13% chance of a white Christmas in Gardie in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Gardie have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Gardie is 13%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- When did Gardie last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Gardie in our 1991–2024 records was 2021.