Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Edinburgh?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

Scotland66 m elevation1 km local model
13%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Edinburgh

Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Edinburgh has had a white Christmas about 1 year in 10: 4 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2018.

13%

White Christmas

9%

Snow on the Day

6%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Edinburgh, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

4of 34

1990s

91
92
White Christmas
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

2000s

White Christmas
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
09

2010s

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
White Christmas
18
19

2020s

20
21
22
23
24
White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Edinburgh

Elevation

66 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Edinburgh sits at 66 m.

Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Edinburgh this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 13% chance of a white Christmas in Edinburgh in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Edinburgh have a white Christmas?
Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Edinburgh about 1 year in 10 (4 of 34 years).
When did Edinburgh last have a white Christmas?
The most recent white Christmas in Edinburgh in our 1991–2024 records was 2018.