Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Dull?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
Scotland129 m elevation1 km local model
9%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Dull
The calibrated long-range estimate for Dull is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2018.
9%
White Christmas
4%
Snow on the Day
7%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Dull, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
6of 34
1990s
90
91
92
93
94
White Christmas
9596
97
98
White Christmas
992000s
White Christmas
0001
02
03
White Christmas
0405
06
07
08
09
2010s
10
11
12
13
White Christmas
1415
16
17
White Christmas
1819
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Dull
Elevation
129 m
Region
Scotland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Dull sits at 129 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Dull this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 9% chance of a white Christmas in Dull in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Dull have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Dull is 9%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- When did Dull last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Dull in our 1991–2024 records was 2018.