Will it snow in Crathie this Christmas?

The current estimate is a 17% chance of a white Christmas in Crathie in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.

How often does Crathie have a white Christmas?

The calibrated long-range estimate for Crathie is 17%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.

When did Crathie last have a white Christmas?

The most recent white Christmas in Crathie in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.

Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Crathie?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

Scotland272 m elevation1 km local model

17%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Crathie

The calibrated long-range estimate for Crathie is about 2 years in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2023.

17%

White Christmas

Snow on the Day

10%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Crathie, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

12of 34

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Crathie

Elevation

272 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Crathie sits at 272 m.

Nearby places

Inverness

52 km away

11%

Fort William

52 km away

12%

Westhill

52 km away

10%

Dingwall

65 km away

13%

Nairn

69 km away

Alness

76 km away

10%

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Crathie this Christmas?: The current estimate is a 17% chance of a white Christmas in Crathie in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Crathie have a white Christmas?: The calibrated long-range estimate for Crathie is 17%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
When did Crathie last have a white Christmas?: The most recent white Christmas in Crathie in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.