Will it snow in Craggan this Christmas?

The current estimate is a 21% chance of a white Christmas in Craggan in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.

How often does Craggan have a white Christmas?

The calibrated long-range estimate for Craggan is 21%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.

When did Craggan last have a white Christmas?

The most recent white Christmas in Craggan in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.

Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Craggan?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

Scotland218 m elevation1 km local model

21%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Craggan

The calibrated long-range estimate for Craggan is about 2 years in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2023.

21%

White Christmas

15%

Snow on the Day

12%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Craggan, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

15of 34

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Craggan

Elevation

218 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Craggan sits at 218 m.

Nearby places

Nairn

33 km away

Forres

33 km away

10%

Westhill

36 km away

10%

Inverness

40 km away

11%

Elgin

41 km away

11%

Lossiemouth

49 km away

13%

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Craggan this Christmas?: The current estimate is a 21% chance of a white Christmas in Craggan in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Craggan have a white Christmas?: The calibrated long-range estimate for Craggan is 21%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
When did Craggan last have a white Christmas?: The most recent white Christmas in Craggan in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.