Will it snow in Cabrach this Christmas?

The current estimate is a 24% chance of a white Christmas in Cabrach in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.

How often does Cabrach have a white Christmas?

The calibrated long-range estimate for Cabrach is 24%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.

When did Cabrach last have a white Christmas?

The most recent white Christmas in Cabrach in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.

Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Cabrach?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

Scotland330 m elevation1 km local model

24%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Cabrach

The calibrated long-range estimate for Cabrach is about 2 years in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2023.

24%

White Christmas

18%

Snow on the Day

11%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Cabrach, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

17of 34

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Cabrach

Elevation

330 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Cabrach sits at 330 m.

Nearby places

Inverurie

39 km away

13%

Buckie

40 km away

11%

Elgin

41 km away

11%

Turriff

41 km away

11%

Banchory

43 km away

16%

Westhill

48 km away

13%

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Cabrach this Christmas?: The current estimate is a 24% chance of a white Christmas in Cabrach in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Cabrach have a white Christmas?: The calibrated long-range estimate for Cabrach is 24%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
When did Cabrach last have a white Christmas?: The most recent white Christmas in Cabrach in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.