Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Cranagh?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
Northern Ireland178 m elevation1 km local model
10%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Cranagh
The calibrated long-range estimate for Cranagh is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2013.
10%
White Christmas
7%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Cranagh, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
7of 34
1990s
90
91
92
White Christmas
9394
White Christmas
9596
97
98
White Christmas
992000s
00
White Christmas
0102
03
White Christmas
0405
06
07
08
White Christmas
092010s
10
11
12
White Christmas
1314
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Cranagh
Elevation
178 m
Region
Northern Ireland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Cranagh sits at 178 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Cranagh this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 10% chance of a white Christmas in Cranagh in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Cranagh have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Cranagh is 10%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- When did Cranagh last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Cranagh in our 1991–2024 records was 2013.