Will it be a White Christmas in Belfast?
Snow odds for Belfast, Northern Ireland, on Christmas Day 2026.
The historical picture
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Belfast has had a white Christmas about 1 year in 10: 4 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2010.
12%
White Christmas
6%
Snow on the Day
6%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Belfast, 1991–2024
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White Christmas No snow
About Belfast
Elevation
7 m
Region
Northern Ireland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Belfast sits at 7 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Belfast this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 12% chance of a white Christmas in Belfast in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Belfast have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Belfast about 1 year in 10 (4 of 34 years).
- When did Belfast last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Belfast in our 1991–2024 records was 2010.