Will it be a White Christmas in Ballynahinch?
Snow odds for Ballynahinch, Northern Ireland, on Christmas Day 2026.
The historical picture
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Ballynahinch has had a white Christmas about 1 year in 10: 2 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2009.
7%
White Christmas
6%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Ballynahinch, 1991–2024
'91
'92
'93
'94
'95
'96
'97
'98
'99
'00
'01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
'14
'15
'16
'17
'18
'19
'20
'21
'22
'23
'24
White Christmas No snow
About Ballynahinch
Elevation
74 m
Region
Northern Ireland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Ballynahinch sits at 74 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Ballynahinch this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 7% chance of a white Christmas in Ballynahinch in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Ballynahinch have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Ballynahinch about 1 year in 10 (2 of 34 years).
- When did Ballynahinch last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Ballynahinch in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.