Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Ballyetragh?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
Northern Ireland170 m elevation1 km local model
9%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Ballyetragh
The calibrated long-range estimate for Ballyetragh is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2015.
9%
White Christmas
10%
Snow on the Day
1%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Ballyetragh, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
6of 34
1990s
90
91
92
White Christmas
9394
95
96
97
98
White Christmas
992000s
00
White Christmas
0102
03
White Christmas
0405
06
07
08
White Christmas
092010s
10
11
12
13
14
White Christmas
1516
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Ballyetragh
Elevation
170 m
Region
Northern Ireland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Ballyetragh sits at 170 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Ballyetragh this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 9% chance of a white Christmas in Ballyetragh in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Ballyetragh have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Ballyetragh is 9%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- When did Ballyetragh last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Ballyetragh in our 1991–2024 records was 2015.