Will it be a White Christmas in Manchester?
Snow odds for Manchester, North West England, on Christmas Day 2026.
The historical picture
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Manchester has had a white Christmas fewer than 1 year in 10: 1 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2009.
4%
White Christmas
0%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Manchester, 1991–2024
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White Christmas No snow
About Manchester
Elevation
51 m
Region
North West England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Manchester sits at 51 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Manchester this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 4% chance of a white Christmas in Manchester in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Manchester have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Manchester fewer than 1 year in 10 (1 of 34 years).
- When did Manchester last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Manchester in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.