Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Manchester?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
North West England51 m elevation1 km local model
4%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Manchester
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Manchester has had a white Christmas fewer than 1 year in 10: 1 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2009.
4%
White Christmas
0%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Manchester, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
1of 34
1990s
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
2000s
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
092010s
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Manchester
Elevation
51 m
Region
North West England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Manchester sits at 51 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Manchester this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 4% chance of a white Christmas in Manchester in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Manchester have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Manchester fewer than 1 year in 10 (1 of 34 years).
- When did Manchester last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Manchester in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.