Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Holmes Chapel?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
North West England62 m elevation1 km local model
7%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Holmes Chapel
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Holmes Chapel has had a white Christmas about 1 year in 10: 2 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day. The most recent was 2009.
7%
White Christmas
3%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Holmes Chapel, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
2of 34
1990s
90
91
92
White Christmas
9394
95
96
97
98
99
2000s
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
092010s
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Holmes Chapel
Elevation
62 m
Region
North West England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Holmes Chapel sits at 62 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Holmes Chapel this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 7% chance of a white Christmas in Holmes Chapel in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Holmes Chapel have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Holmes Chapel about 1 year in 10 (2 of 34 years).
- When did Holmes Chapel last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Holmes Chapel in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.