Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Calthwaite?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
North West England147 m elevation1 km local model
10%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Calthwaite
The calibrated long-range estimate for Calthwaite is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2020.
10%
White Christmas
11%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Calthwaite, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
7of 34
1990s
90
91
White Christmas
92White Christmas
9394
95
96
97
98
99
2000s
00
01
02
03
White Christmas
0405
White Christmas
0607
08
White Christmas
092010s
White Christmas
1011
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
White Christmas
2021
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Calthwaite
Elevation
147 m
Region
North West England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Calthwaite sits at 147 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Calthwaite this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 10% chance of a white Christmas in Calthwaite in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Calthwaite have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Calthwaite is 10%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- When did Calthwaite last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Calthwaite in our 1991–2024 records was 2020.