Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Newcastle upon Tyne?
Christmas Day snow odds for Newcastle upon Tyne, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
Share your town’s forecast card →What history says
Christmas snow in Newcastle upon Tyne
The calibrated long-range estimate for Newcastle upon Tyne is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2010.
7%
White Christmas
5%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Newcastle upon Tyne, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
4of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in Newcastle upon Tyne this winter?
At Leeming, the nearest long-running weather station (75 km away), snow has settled in 81% of winters, on about 6 days a winter. It usually first settles around 29 December, and lies there in December in 33% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About Newcastle upon Tyne
Elevation
54 m
Region
North East England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Newcastle upon Tyne sits at 54 m.
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Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
Newcastle upon Tyne has a 7% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/north-east/newcastle-upon-tyne
HTML with link
<p>Newcastle upon Tyne has a 7% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/north-east/newcastle-upon-tyne">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
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Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Newcastle upon Tyne this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 7% chance of a white Christmas in Newcastle upon Tyne in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Newcastle upon Tyne have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Newcastle upon Tyne is 7%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Newcastle upon Tyne this winter?
- Very likely at some point. At Leeming, the nearest long-running weather station (75 km away), snow has settled in 81% of winters, on about 6 days a winter, usually first around 29 December. Snow lies there in December in 33% of years.
- When did Newcastle upon Tyne last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Newcastle upon Tyne was 2010, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.