Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Thorpe Marriot?
Christmas Day snow odds for Thorpe Marriot, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
Share your town’s forecast card →What history says
Christmas snow in Thorpe Marriot
The calibrated long-range estimate for Thorpe Marriot is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2009.
8%
White Christmas
3%
Snow on the Day
5%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Thorpe Marriot, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
5of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Beyond Christmas Day
Will it snow in Thorpe Marriot this winter?
At Wattisham, the nearest long-running weather station (65 km away), snow has settled in 78% of winters, on about 6.5 days a winter. It usually first settles around 28 December, and lies there in December in 37% of years.
Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →About Thorpe Marriot
Elevation
25 m
Region
East of England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Thorpe Marriot sits at 25 m.
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Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
Thorpe Marriot has an 8% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/east-of-england/thorpe-marriot
HTML with link
<p>Thorpe Marriot has an 8% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/east-of-england/thorpe-marriot">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Thorpe Marriot this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 8% chance of a white Christmas in Thorpe Marriot in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Thorpe Marriot have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Thorpe Marriot is 8%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Thorpe Marriot this winter?
- Very likely at some point. At Wattisham, the nearest long-running weather station (65 km away), snow has settled in 78% of winters, on about 6.5 days a winter, usually first around 28 December. Snow lies there in December in 37% of years.
- When did Thorpe Marriot last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Thorpe Marriot was 2009, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.