Christmas 2026 snow forecast

Will it snow in Great Wakering?

1%Very unlikelyChance of a white Christmas

Christmas Day snow odds for Great Wakering, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.

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What history says

Christmas snow in Great Wakering

The calibrated long-range estimate for Great Wakering is fewer than 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods.

1%

White Christmas

1%

Snow on the Day

1%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Great Wakering, 1991–2024

Modelled history

Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day

0of 34

1990s

91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

2000s

00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09

2010s

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

20
21
22
23
24
Modelled snow signalBelow model threshold
When was the last white Christmas in Great Wakering? Explore the full history →

Beyond Christmas Day

Will it snow in Great Wakering this winter?

At Heathrow, the nearest long-running weather station (26 km away), snow has settled in 47% of winters, on about 1.9 days a winter. It usually first settles around 13 January, and lies there in December in 18% of years.

Will it snow in the UK this winter? When and where snow usually arrives →

About Great Wakering

Elevation

8 m

Region

East of England

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Great Wakering sits at 8 m.

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Great Wakering Christmas 2026 forecast card: 1% chance of falling snow on 24 or 25 December. The card includes its date and forecast basis.
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Cite this forecast

You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.

Text

Great Wakering has a 1% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/east-of-england/great-wakering

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<p>Great Wakering has a 1% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/east-of-england/great-wakering">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>

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Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Great Wakering this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 1% chance of a white Christmas in Great Wakering in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Great Wakering have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Great Wakering is 1%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
Will it snow in Great Wakering this winter?
Quite possibly, though not every winter. At Heathrow, the nearest long-running weather station (26 km away), snow has settled in 47% of winters, on about 1.9 days a winter, usually first around 13 January. Snow lies there in December in 18% of years.
When did Great Wakering last have a white Christmas?
Our 1991–2024 reconstruction has no year meeting the Christmas snow threshold for Great Wakering. That does not prove snow never fell: the model estimates falling snow on 24 or 25 December and ends in 2024.