Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Louth?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

East Midlands32 m elevation1 km local model
8%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Louth

The calibrated long-range estimate for Louth is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2010.

8%

White Christmas

5%

Snow on the Day

6%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Louth, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

5of 34

1990s

91
92
White Christmas
93
White Christmas
94
White Christmas
95
96
97
98
99

2000s

00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
09

2010s

White Christmas
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

20
21
22
23
24
White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Louth

Elevation

32 m

Region

East Midlands

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Louth sits at 32 m.

Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Louth this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 8% chance of a white Christmas in Louth in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Louth have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Louth is 8%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
When did Louth last have a white Christmas?
The most recent white Christmas in Louth in our 1991–2024 records was 2010.