Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Kirkby in Ashfield?
Christmas Day snow odds for Kirkby in Ashfield, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
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Christmas snow in Kirkby in Ashfield
The calibrated long-range estimate for Kirkby in Ashfield is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2009.
5%
White Christmas
3%
Snow on the Day
2%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Kirkby in Ashfield, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
3of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
About Kirkby in Ashfield
Elevation
162 m
Region
East Midlands
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Kirkby in Ashfield sits at 162 m.
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Cite this forecast
You are welcome to quote these odds. Please credit White Christmas UK with a link to this page. Figures update as the forecast comes into range, so the date matters.
Text
Kirkby in Ashfield has a 5% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to White Christmas UK (as of 5 November 2026). https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/east-midlands/kirkby-in-ashfield
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<p>Kirkby in Ashfield has a 5% chance of a white Christmas in 2026, according to <a href="https://whitechristmas.uk/uk/east-midlands/kirkby-in-ashfield">White Christmas UK</a> (as of 5 November 2026).</p>
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Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Kirkby in Ashfield this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 5% chance of a white Christmas in Kirkby in Ashfield in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Kirkby in Ashfield have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Kirkby in Ashfield is 5%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- When did Kirkby in Ashfield last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Kirkby in Ashfield was 2009, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.